You Need to be Wrong (Sometimes)

To be a well-calibrated predictor, you need to to be wrong (sometimes). »

Mental Model: Stages of Change

The Transtheoretical model »

NYC 2022 Observations

Observations/photos from a recent NYC trip »

Tools for Making Difficult Decisions

Quantitative and qualitative decision-making techniques »

Manifold Markets

Prediction markets, as far as the eye can see »

One Weird Trick

Or, “How to Beat Three Months of Engineering Effort By Telling Your System To Not Call time.Sleep”. »

Kindle Snippets Viewer

I wrote a little web app to view Kindle Highlights. »

List of Lists of 2022 Predictions

'Tis the season for prognosticating the upcoming year »

2021 in Review

Looking back on 2021 »

My Favorite Books of 2021

The books I read in 2021 that I most enjoyed. »

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